Bryce Elder
24-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
1-1
ERA
4.79
WHIP
1.65
K
16
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
A fifth-round pick in the 2020 MLB Draft out of the University of Texas, Elder rocketed through Atlanta's minor-league system and made his big-league debut in April of 2022 at the ripe age of 22. He's enjoyed a good amount of success so far at baseball's highest level, carrying a 3.66 ERA through his first 228.2 innings of work with Atlanta, but the now 24-year-old right-hander probably won't be overly popular in fantasy drafts this spring because of his low strikeout rate. Leaning heavily on cutters, sinkers and sliders, Elder likes to put batters away by inducing soft contact as opposed to the more elite fantasy starters who rack up punchouts. He should be a solid source of ERA help and wins with a locked-in rotation spot for the reigning NL East champions, but don't count on a sudden change in approach. Read Past Outlooks
Sharp in no-decision
Elder pitched well in Sunday's loss to the Mets but did not factor into the decision. He allowed two runs on seven hits and no walks while striking out six in 5.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
Elder fell just two outs short of his second quality start of the year. The lone damage against him came off the bat of Pete Alonso, who had an RBI single in the third and another run-scoring double in the sixth. Elder tossed 65 of 85 pitches for strikes and managed to not issue any free passes after allowing eight walks over his last 8.2 innings. The 25-year-old owns a 4.79 ERA, 1.65 WHIP and 16:8 K:BB in 20.2 innings and lines up for a home start against the Padres his next time out.
Elder fell just two outs short of his second quality start of the year. The lone damage against him came off the bat of Pete Alonso, who had an RBI single in the third and another run-scoring double in the sixth. Elder tossed 65 of 85 pitches for strikes and managed to not issue any free passes after allowing eight walks over his last 8.2 innings. The 25-year-old owns a 4.79 ERA, 1.65 WHIP and 16:8 K:BB in 20.2 innings and lines up for a home start against the Padres his next time out.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
82
Last 10 Games
82
Last 5 Games
82
How many pitches does Bryce Elder generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Elder generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-21%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .250 | 75 | 50 | 119 | 15 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .242 | 116 | 44 | 111 | 11 | |||
2024vs Left | .347 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 2 | |||
2024vs Right | .273 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 1 | |||
2023vs Left | .241 | 55 | 36 | 81 | 10 | |||
2023vs Right | .248 | 73 | 27 | 79 | 9 | |||
2022vs Left | .231 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 3 | |||
2022vs Right | .215 | 32 | 14 | 23 | 1 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-26%
ERA at Home
2024
-84%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.22 | 1.24 | 128.2 | 6.9 | 3.4 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.33 | 1.37 | 120.2 | 6.9 | 3.4 | ||||
2024Home | 1.50 | 1.33 | 12.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | ||||
2024Away | 9.35 | 2.08 | 8.2 | 10.4 | 4.2 | ||||
2023Home | 3.61 | 1.23 | 94.2 | 6.9 | 3.2 | ||||
2023Away | 4.05 | 1.34 | 80.0 | 6.2 | 3.3 | ||||
2022Home | 2.45 | 1.23 | 22.0 | 8.2 | 4.1 | ||||
2022Away | 3.66 | 1.25 | 32.0 | 7.6 | 3.7 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Bryce Elder compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.00K/9
7.0BB/9
3.5HR/9
1.3Fastball
90.0 mphERA
4.79WHIP
1.65BABIP
.352GB/FB
2.06Left On Base
77.2%Exit Velocity
82.6 mphBarrels/BBE
6.3%Spin Rate
2111 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
30.4%Swinging Strike
9.1%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could start Game 3
Elder is an option to start Game 3 of the NLDS against the Phillies on Wednesday, per Mark Bowman of MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander is on schedule to pitch Wednesday after throwing in an intrasquad game last Thursday, and he remains a candidate to take the mound. However, Elder surrendered 13 earned runs across his final three starts of the regular season, which could prompt Atlanta to go in a different direction. AJ Smith-Shawver is the other potential candidate to start or work in a bulk-relief role.
The right-hander is on schedule to pitch Wednesday after throwing in an intrasquad game last Thursday, and he remains a candidate to take the mound. However, Elder surrendered 13 earned runs across his final three starts of the regular season, which could prompt Atlanta to go in a different direction. AJ Smith-Shawver is the other potential candidate to start or work in a bulk-relief role.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
This is an endgame pick that should please the Elder Gods. While Elder does not light up the radar gun with overpowering stuff -- he clocks in around 90-91 mph -- the right-hander does a good job of keeping the ball on the ground with his sinking fastball. He allowed just a single homer on the sinker last season (369 thrown). The slider, cutter and changeup complement the primary pitch, giving Elder a diverse repertoire that projects well in the Atlanta starting rotation. His 10.1 K-BB% from his rookie season does little to excite, but the team context and a groundball rate pushing 50% give Elder streaming appeal in a wide variety of leagues. He threw his cutter almost exclusively against left-handed batters last season. While the cutter was effective for him, it's not a big swing-and-miss pitch, so the slider and changeup will have to do the heavy lifting if he's to take a step forward with the strikeouts in 2023.
More Fantasy News
Roughed up in first loss
Elder (1-1) was hit with the loss against the Dodgers on Saturday, allowing seven runs on seven hits and four walks while striking out four over 3.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Walks four in no-decision
Elder didn't factor into the decision Sunday, allowing two runs on four hits and four walks against the Guardians. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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To nab another start Sunday
Elder is slated to start Sunday's game against the Guardians in Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Victorious in season debut
Elder (1-0) earned the win Monday against the Marlins, allowing eight hits and no walks over 6.2 shutout innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Called up ahead of start
Atlanta recalled Elder from Triple-A Gwinnett ahead of his scheduled start Monday against the Marlins at Truist Park.
ANALYSIS
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